欧阳艳艳副教授等关于气温与国内贸易研究的理论文章在外文期刊《经济分析与政策》发表

《Economic Analysis and Policy 》2024年第83卷刊发了欧阳艳艳副教授、王升泉副研究员与研究生翁达斌与本科生张文浩的合作论文《Temperature and domestic trade: City evidence from China 》。

摘要如下：

Climate change poses an enormous global challenge, particularly for human economic activities. Previous literature has paid limited attention to the impact of temperature change on domestic trade. To examine the nexus between temperature and domestic trade, we employ panel data from 285 Chinese cities from 2000 to 2021 and a spatial econometric model. First, we reveal significant spatial correlation between domestic trade between cities. More importantly, a city's domestic trade is found to be significantly influenced by temperature changes in neighbouring cities. Specifically, the significantly negative spillover effect of temperature changes on domestic trade is consistent with the significantly negative direct effect, suggesting an overall negative total effect. Temperature changes also have a cumulative impact on domestic trade. Labour productivity, population migration and meteorological disasters are the mechanisms through which temperature changes influence Chinese cities’ domestic trade. Furthermore, the negative impact of temperature changes is more pronounced in the retail sector and in cities with low air–conditioning penetration. We provide city–level evidence of the relationship between climate change and economic activities from a new perspective of domestic trade, highlight the influential channels and confirm the role of temperature change in impeding the prosperity of domestic trade.

关键词：Temperature changes;Domestic trade;Labour productivity;Population migration;Meteorological disasters

（作者简介：欧阳艳艳，中山大学国际金融学院副教授；王升泉，北京师范大学副研究员；翁达斌，中山大学国际金融学院硕士生；张文浩，中山大学国际金融学院本科生）

论文链接：Temperature and domestic trade: City evidence from China - ScienceDirect

编辑：陈倩怡

审核发布：毛艳华